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BDA Telecom & Internet Market Forecasts 2008-2012: China

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Mar 31 2008
China's telco restructuring and the entry of China Telecom and China Netcom to the mobile market will drive sustained growth, with 965 million subs by 2012 and at a 5-year CAGR of 12%. Operator promotions and 3G rollout will result in significant growth in China's WVAS market at 22% CAGR inr the same period. Operators will continue to gain share from Service Providers, although new competitors for China Mobile may ease their pain in the medium term. China's handset market will expand to 197 million in 2008 and 267 million units by 2012, at a CAGR of 9%. China's internet users have surpassed those of the US and will reach 490 million by 2012 at a CAGR of 18%. The mobile internet market will take off, driven by 3G. Online games, online brand advertising and online search markets will expand rapidly at a 5-year CAGR of 33%, 37% and 51% respectively through 2012. Broadband subscribers in China will grow at a CAGR of 16% to 150 million by 2012.
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